IV is low. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 7.6% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.24x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 24% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.94x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 24.8% — normal range
Effective IV 60.2% (ATM 24.8% + spread 17.7% + bias) — good value
Total drag 24.80% (spread 17.71% + slippage 7.09%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 24.62 (vega 43.604 / spread 17.71%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +2% (neutral) — Raw: +6%
|OI skew| 9.5% — balanced
Vol skew +36.7%, OI skew +9.5% — aligned
0-DTE 63%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +48%, ATM: -8%, OTM: +13% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 33% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.5x avg — elevated
Vol/OI 3.9% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
2 day(s) elevated — sustained
OI change +8.4% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 68% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 39% — patient
Conviction +2 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 17.7% — wide
OI 61,115 — deep
Volume 2,354/day — adequate
$0.89 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 39% — tighter than sector
Depth 167.4 contracts (bid:72.2 ask:95.2) — adequate
Avg slippage 7.09% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -5.6% — contango
IV percentile 8% — buyer opportunity
IV kink -1.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1473.10 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +2% @ 51% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.