IV is low. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 11.9% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.38x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 12% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.99x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 26.5% — normal range
Effective IV 60.5% (ATM 26.5% + spread 17.0% + bias) — good value
Total drag 23.18% (spread 17.00% + slippage 6.18%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 30.06 (vega 51.100 / spread 17.00%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -7% (neutral) — Raw: -6%
|OI skew| 2.1% — balanced
Vol skew -19.6%, OI skew +2.1% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 71%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -40%, ATM: +1%, OTM: -14% — bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 85% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.8x avg — normal
Vol/OI 4.7% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +16.2% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 56% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 19% — mixed
Aggressive execution 54% — patient
Conviction -7 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 17.0% — wide
OI 44,682 — adequate
Volume 2,100/day — adequate
$0.85 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 16% — much tighter than sector
Depth 94.7 contracts (bid:45.7 ask:49.0) — thin
Avg slippage 6.18% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -1.1% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 12% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 0.2pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 824.20 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -7% @ 54% consistency — unclear
Score 49 (ITM 20% + inst 19%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.