
bearish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 66.0% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.45x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 71% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.07x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 40.2% — normal range
Effective IV 92.5% (ATM 40.2% + spread 26.2% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 32.34% (spread 26.16% + slippage 6.18%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 6.79 (vega 17.750 / spread 26.16%) — acceptable
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -88% (strong bearish) — Raw: -90%
|OI skew| 23.2% — put-heavy
Vol skew -48.0%, OI skew -23.2% — aligned
0-DTE 6%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: -50%, OTM: -94% — bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 88% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.1x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.3% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +0.4% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 1% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 11% — patient
Conviction -88 (bearish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 26.2% — wide
OI 17,768 — adequate
Volume 50/day — thin
$1.31 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 72% — wider than sector
Depth 92.3 contracts (bid:51.4 ask:40.9) — thin
Avg slippage 6.18% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +7.4% — backwardation
IV percentile 66% — neutral
IV kink 2.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 507.15 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 11d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -88% @ 93% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.