Mixed signals. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 61.4% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.49x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 67% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.15x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 39.3% — normal range
Effective IV 74.7% (ATM 39.3% + spread 17.7% + bias) — fair
Total drag 25.44% (spread 17.70% + slippage 7.74%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 14.29 (vega 25.292 / spread 17.70%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +25% (bullish) — Raw: +17%
|OI skew| 28.4% — put-heavy
Vol skew +8.3%, OI skew -28.4% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 36%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +94%, ATM: -28%, OTM: +20% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 55% — neutral vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 4.8% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +4.3% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 53% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 33% — patient
Conviction +25 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 17.7% — wide
OI 8,099 — thin
Volume 386/day — thin
$0.89 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 68% — wider than sector
Depth 27.6 contracts (bid:15.1 ask:12.5) — thin
Avg slippage 7.74% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +15.3% — backwardation
IV percentile 61% — neutral
IV kink 5.8pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 132.84 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: Earnings in 6d (elevated risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +25% @ 62% consistency — moderate (bullish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.