IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 95.5% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.42x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 87% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.99x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 65.7% — normal range
Effective IV 107.3% (ATM 65.7% + spread 20.8% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 29.70% (spread 20.80% + slippage 8.90%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.11 (vega 0.230 / spread 20.80%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +22% (bullish) — Raw: -14%
|OI skew| 2.9% — balanced
Vol skew +3.0%, OI skew +2.9% — weak (same direction)
0-DTE 11%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +39%, ATM: +80%, OTM: -56% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 81% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.5x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.6% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +4.4% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 25% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 65% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 37% — patient
Conviction +22 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 20.8% — wide
OI 1,029,903 — deep
Volume 26,338/day — active
$1.04 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 88% — much wider than sector
Depth 1,015.4000000000001 contracts (bid:512.6 ask:502.8) — deep
Avg slippage 8.90% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -0.9% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 96% — seller opportunity
IV kink -2.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1.67 — favors mixed
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 20d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +22% @ 61% consistency — unclear
Score 95 (ITM 20% + inst 65%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.