IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 97.8% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.84x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 88% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.14x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 80.8% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 93.7% (ATM 80.8% + spread 6.5% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 11.70% (spread 6.45% + slippage 5.25%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 102.94 (vega 66.394 / spread 6.45%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +2% (neutral) — Raw: +9%
|OI skew| 6.3% — balanced
Vol skew +37.6%, OI skew +6.3% — aligned
0-DTE 34%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +9%, ATM: -5%, OTM: +12% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 24% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 6.9% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +9.7% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 53% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 19% — mixed
Aggressive execution 40% — patient
Conviction +2 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 6.5% — wide
OI 1,145,874 — deep
Volume 78,493/day — active
$0.32 to cross — cheap
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 89% — much wider than sector
Depth 110.6 contracts (bid:52.7 ask:57.9) — adequate
Avg slippage 5.25% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +14.2% — backwardation
IV percentile 98% — seller opportunity
IV kink 3.1pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 757.06 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: FOMC in 5d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +2% @ 51% consistency — unclear
Score 49 (ITM 20% + inst 19%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.