Mixed signals. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 66.5% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.92x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 27% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.85x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 40.4% — normal range
Effective IV 56.5% (ATM 40.4% + spread 8.0% + bias) — good value
Total drag 13.04% (spread 8.03% + slippage 5.01%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 9.13 (vega 7.328 / spread 8.03%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -17% (bearish) — Raw: -11%
|OI skew| 13.0% — balanced
Vol skew +42.1%, OI skew +13.0% — aligned
0-DTE 38%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +12%, ATM: -23%, OTM: -5% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 30% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 7.8% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +10.6% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 56% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 24% — mixed
Aggressive execution 41% — patient
Conviction -17 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 8.0% — wide
OI 566,219 — deep
Volume 44,230/day — active
$0.40 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 29% — tighter than sector
Depth 204.7 contracts (bid:100.6 ask:104.1) — adequate
Avg slippage 5.01% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -14.7% — contango
IV percentile 66% — neutral
IV kink -8.6pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 43.60 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 12d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -17% @ 59% consistency — unclear
Score 54 (ITM 20% + inst 24%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.