bullish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 31.2% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 2.41x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 60% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.20x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 31.5% — normal range
Effective IV 75.3% (ATM 31.5% + spread 21.9% + bias) — fair
Total drag 24.40% (spread 21.92% + slippage 2.48%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.76 (vega 1.659 / spread 21.92%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -7% (neutral) — Raw: -8%
|OI skew| 55.3% — call-heavy
Vol skew +100.0%, OI skew +55.3% — aligned
0-DTE 20%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -56%, ATM: +100%, OTM: +0% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 50% — neutral vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.9x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.3% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +1.1% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 45% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 20% — patient
Conviction -7 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 21.9% — wide
OI 653 — thin
Volume 15/day — thin
$1.10 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 68% — wider than sector
Depth 52.5 contracts (bid:39.3 ask:13.2) — thin
Avg slippage 2.48% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +20.3% — backwardation
IV percentile 31% — neutral
IV kink 5.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 2.34 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 12d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -7% @ 53% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.