Mixed signals. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 54.8% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.71x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 74% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.10x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 37.4% — normal range
Effective IV 90.3% (ATM 37.4% + spread 26.4% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 36.71% (spread 26.44% + slippage 10.27%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.22 (vega 0.583 / spread 26.44%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +21% (bullish) — Raw: +26%
|OI skew| 5.3% — balanced
Vol skew -15.5%, OI skew -5.3% — aligned
0-DTE 37%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -60%, ATM: -50%, OTM: +43% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 82% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 2.8x avg — hot
Vol/OI 4.3% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +5.8% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 49% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 54% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 47% — patient
Conviction +21 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 26.4% — wide
OI 87,451 — deep
Volume 3,763/day — adequate
$1.32 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 75% — wider than sector
Depth 293.1 contracts (bid:185.5 ask:107.6) — adequate
Avg slippage 10.27% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +9.9% — backwardation
IV percentile 55% — neutral
IV kink 3.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 2.29 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
HIGH RISK: Earnings in 0d (HIGH RISK)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +21% @ 60% consistency — unclear
Score 84 (ITM 20% + inst 54%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.