RLRalph Lauren Corporation
Options Analysis Report•MEN'S & BOYS' FURNISHGS, WORK CLOTHG, & ALLIED GARMENTS
Market Cap $23.4B|NYSE
● 2026-04-17$386.88
BEARISH
Analysis: 2026-04-16 EOD data
1Y +89.6%YTD +6.7%7D +1.8%
Options Vol
103
30D
Implied Move
±9.7%
IV Rank
61%
RL Options Overview
Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
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Value
Is IV priced right?
5.5
ExpensiveCheap
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV
levels.Risk Checks5/9 checks passed
IV Rank
≤35%IV Rank 56.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV Ratio
<1.05xIV/HV 0.85x — IV ≤ HV
Sector Relative≤50%
Sector percentile 45% — below sector median
Term Structure
<1.1xFront/Back 0.90x — contango
Skew Normal
<1.25xPut/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
Absolute IV
<80%ATM IV 37.6% — normal range
Spread-Adjusted Value
<80%Effective IV 84.6% (ATM 37.6% + spread 23.5% + bias) — expensive
Execution Efficiency
<3.0%Total drag 28.88% (spread 23.48% + slippage 5.40%) — high friction
Vega Efficiency
≥5.0Vega efficiency 3.29 (vega 7.717 / spread 23.48%) — spread drag
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
3.5
BearishBullish
Analyzes
put/call ratios
, open interest skew
, and flow direction to determine market bias.Risk ChecksVery Bearish - Moderate signal (Conviction: -36%, Raw: -41%)
Flow Direction
|net sentiment| ≥25%Conviction-weighted: -36% (strong bearish) — Raw: -41%
OI Skew Magnitude
≥15%|OI skew| 10.6% — balanced
Volume-OI Alignment
Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%Vol skew -16.5%, OI skew +10.6% — divergent (opposite)
Conviction Quality
≥2/3 conditions0-DTE 46%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI Momentum
|change| ≥3%OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
Smart Money Flow
|weighted flow| ≥20%ITM: -100%, ATM: -20%, OTM: -46% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%
Sector P/C percentile 78% — very bearish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
2.5
QuietActive
Detects volume surges,
block trades
, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.Risk Checks1/9 checks passed
Volume Surge
≥1.5xVolume 0.2x avg — normal
Turnover Rate
≥15%Vol/OI 1.1% — normal turnover
Strike Concentration
≥60%Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
Multi-Day Persistence
≥2 days1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI Build
≥5%OI change -7.5% (5d) — unwinding
Sector Relative≥60%
Sector activity percentile 6% — quiet vs sector
Trade Quality
≥30%Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Execution Urgency
≥60%Aggressive execution 15% — patient
Flow Conviction
≥30Conviction -36 (bearish) — moderate
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
2.8
IlliquidLiquid
Evaluates
bid-ask spreads
, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.Risk Checks0/8 checks passed
Tradeable Spread
≤5.0%Spread 23.5% — wide
Adequate OI
≥10,000OI 9,271 — thin
Active Volume
≥500Volume 103/day — thin
Reasonable Cost
≤$0.50$1.17 to cross — expensive
Strike Coverage
≥5 strikes0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector Relative≤40%
Sector spread percentile 46% — neutral vs sector
Order Book Depth
≥100 contractsDepth 23.5 contracts (bid:12.1 ask:11.4) — thin
Execution Quality
<1.0%Avg slippage 5.40% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
7.0
RiskyFavorable
Considers earnings proximity,
time decay
, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.Risk Checks6/9 checks passed
Term Structure Clarity
|slope| ≥5%Slope -9.9% — contango
IV Percentile Clarity
<30 or >70IV percentile 56% — neutral
Event Detection
≥10pts kinkIV kink -3.7pts — no clear event
Theta/Vega Clarity
<0.5 or >2.0θ/ν ratio 5.55 — favors income trades
Expiration Distribution
≥3 expirations3 liquid expirations — flexible
Event Risk
≥60% (safe)safe window: No events detected
Spread Momentum
<1.2 ratioSpread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow Momentum
≥25% strength + ≥50% consistencyFlow -36% @ 68% consistency — moderate (bearish)
Smart Money Timing
≥40 composite scoreScore 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
Directional Strategy Fit
Option Buyers
Long Calls4.6
bullishIV fair, bearish flow
Long Puts5.7
bearishIV fair, bearish flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put4.2
bullishIV fair, bearish flow
Covered Call5.2
bearishIV fair, bearish flow
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.