bearish flow. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 50.0% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.00x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 50% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.23x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.00x — normal
ATM IV 0.0% — normal range
Effective IV 28.9% (ATM 0.0% + spread 14.4% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 20.44% (spread 14.44% + slippage 6.00%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.00 (vega 0.000 / spread 14.44%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +29% (bullish) — Raw: +24%
|OI skew| 43.9% — put-heavy
Vol skew -69.2%, OI skew -43.9% — aligned
0-DTE 22%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -100%, ATM: -57%, OTM: +48% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 93% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.1x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.6% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +1.7% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 32% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 48% — patient
Conviction +29 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 14.4% — wide
OI 13,832 — adequate
Volume 227/day — thin
$0.72 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 0% — much tighter than sector
Depth 30.200000000000003 contracts (bid:13.9 ask:16.3) — thin
Avg slippage 6.00% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +22.5% — backwardation
IV percentile 50% — neutral
IV kink 7.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1.00 — favors mixed
3 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 13d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +29% @ 64% consistency — moderate (bullish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.