Mixed signals. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 51.4% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.58x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 54% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.04x — flat
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 36.6% — normal range
Effective IV 58.1% (ATM 36.6% + spread 10.7% + bias) — good value
Total drag 16.68% (spread 10.74% + slippage 5.94%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 77.86 (vega 83.624 / spread 10.74%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -17% (bearish) — Raw: -17%
|OI skew| 24.0% — call-heavy
Vol skew +54.7%, OI skew +24.0% — aligned
0-DTE 18%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +20%, ATM: -10%, OTM: -25% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 23% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.8% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +3.4% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 43% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 59% — patient
Conviction -17 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 10.7% — wide
OI 7,458 — thin
Volume 212/day — thin
$0.54 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 56% — neutral vs sector
Depth 29.6 contracts (bid:10.0 ask:19.6) — thin
Avg slippage 5.94% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +4.2% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 51% — neutral
IV kink 1.5pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 646.24 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: Earnings in 6d (elevated risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -17% @ 58% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.