IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 82.6% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.69x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 82% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.19x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 49.4% — normal range
Effective IV 158.0% (ATM 49.4% + spread 54.3% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 66.40% (spread 54.30% + slippage 12.10%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 1.85 (vega 10.055 / spread 54.30%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -1% (neutral) — Raw: +0%
|OI skew| 73.4% — put-heavy
Vol skew +23.1%, OI skew -73.4% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 15%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: +0%, OTM: +0% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 42% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.0x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.1% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 0% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 22% — patient
Conviction -1 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 54.3% — wide
OI 11,267 — adequate
Volume 13/day — thin
$2.71 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 83% — much wider than sector
Depth 32.4 contracts (bid:12.1 ask:20.3) — thin
Avg slippage 12.10% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +19.0% — backwardation
IV percentile 83% — seller opportunity
IV kink 6.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 115.71 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 18d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -1% @ 50% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.