Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 53.7% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.05x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 43% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.88x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 37.3% — normal range
Effective IV 59.9% (ATM 37.3% + spread 11.3% + bias) — good value
Total drag 19.60% (spread 11.28% + slippage 8.32%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 31.39 (vega 35.408 / spread 11.28%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -33% (strong bearish) — Raw: -10%
|OI skew| 5.4% — balanced
Vol skew -11.2%, OI skew +5.4% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 64%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -14%, ATM: -49%, OTM: +15% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 76% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 6.1% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +3.3% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 60% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 43% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 40% — patient
Conviction -33 (bearish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 11.3% — wide
OI 533,054 — deep
Volume 32,416/day — active
$0.56 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 44% — neutral vs sector
Depth 187.89999999999998 contracts (bid:93.6 ask:94.3) — adequate
Avg slippage 8.32% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -11.9% — contango
IV percentile 54% — neutral
IV kink -7.7pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1559.81 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 11d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -33% @ 67% consistency — moderate (bearish)
Score 73 (ITM 20% + inst 43%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.