
IV is low with bearish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 22.3% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 0.88x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 15% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.13x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 29.2% — normal range
Effective IV 63.0% (ATM 29.2% + spread 16.9% + bias) — good value
Total drag 22.87% (spread 16.92% + slippage 5.95%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 74.24 (vega 125.611 / spread 16.92%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -2% (neutral) — Raw: -6%
|OI skew| 22.2% — call-heavy
Vol skew -67.3%, OI skew +22.2% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 77%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -75%, ATM: -17%, OTM: -1% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 95% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 9.9% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -12.5% (5d) — unwinding
Sector activity percentile 85% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 71% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 33% — patient
Conviction -2 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 16.9% — wide
OI 19,189 — adequate
Volume 1,892/day — adequate
$0.85 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 15% — much tighter than sector
Depth 34.0 contracts (bid:16.6 ask:17.4) — thin
Avg slippage 5.95% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +12.9% — backwardation
IV percentile 22% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 4.1pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1917.73 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 11d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -2% @ 51% consistency — unclear
Score 101 (ITM 20% + inst 71%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.