IV is elevated with bullish flow. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 99.4% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.48x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 96% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.96x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 78.4% — normal range
Effective IV 95.7% (ATM 78.4% + spread 8.7% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 12.78% (spread 8.65% + slippage 4.13%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 14.30 (vega 12.366 / spread 8.65%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +9% (neutral) — Raw: +13%
|OI skew| 7.8% — balanced
Vol skew +64.7%, OI skew +7.8% — aligned
0-DTE 39%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +22%, ATM: -28%, OTM: +26% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 9% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.9x avg — normal
Vol/OI 11.6% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +9.0% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 77% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 57% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 53% — patient
Conviction +9 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 8.7% — wide
OI 2,594,412 — deep
Volume 300,475/day — active
$0.43 to cross — cheap
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 97% — much wider than sector
Depth 666.9 contracts (bid:361.5 ask:305.4) — deep
Avg slippage 4.13% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -4.3% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 99% — seller opportunity
IV kink -5.8pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1405.27 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 18d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +9% @ 55% consistency — unclear
Score 87 (ITM 20% + inst 57%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.