IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 99.8% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.03x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 99% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.89x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 105.6% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 116.0% (ATM 105.6% + spread 5.2% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 8.82% (spread 5.19% + slippage 3.63%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 434.96 (vega 225.746 / spread 5.19%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -2% (neutral) — Raw: -1%
|OI skew| 4.5% — balanced
Vol skew +2.4%, OI skew -4.5% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 63%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -9%, ATM: +2%, OTM: -2% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 74% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.0x avg — normal
Vol/OI 26.1% — high turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +36.7% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 97% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 10% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 38% — patient
Conviction -2 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 5.2% — wide
OI 684,304 — deep
Volume 178,388/day — active
$0.26 to cross — cheap
2 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 99% — much wider than sector
Depth 136.8 contracts (bid:69.0 ask:67.8) — adequate
Avg slippage 3.63% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -10.9% — contango
IV percentile 100% — seller opportunity
IV kink -19.5pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 290.95 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 13d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -2% @ 51% consistency — unclear
Score 40 (ITM 20% + inst 10%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.