IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 80.5% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.05x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 51% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.94x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 47.9% — normal range
Effective IV 76.4% (ATM 47.9% + spread 14.2% + bias) — fair
Total drag 21.67% (spread 14.23% + slippage 7.44%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 6.45 (vega 9.184 / spread 14.23%) — acceptable
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +15% (bullish) — Raw: +17%
|OI skew| 9.9% — balanced
Vol skew -18.2%, OI skew +9.9% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 49%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +8%, ATM: +16%, OTM: +19% — bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 87% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.8x avg — elevated
Vol/OI 9.7% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +10.2% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 68% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 36% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 30% — patient
Conviction +15 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 14.2% — wide
OI 75,594 — deep
Volume 7,301/day — active
$0.71 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 52% — neutral vs sector
Depth 64.6 contracts (bid:30.8 ask:33.8) — thin
Avg slippage 7.44% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -6.2% — contango
IV percentile 80% — seller opportunity
IV kink -2.8pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 3.27 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +15% @ 58% consistency — unclear
Score 66 (ITM 20% + inst 36%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.