IV is low. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 1.9% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.40x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 21% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.07x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 21.3% — normal range
Effective IV 58.1% (ATM 21.3% + spread 18.4% + bias) — good value
Total drag 23.38% (spread 18.40% + slippage 4.98%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 17.22 (vega 31.690 / spread 18.40%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +23% (bullish) — Raw: +21%
|OI skew| 16.7% — call-heavy
Vol skew +21.9%, OI skew +16.7% — aligned
0-DTE 23%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +100%, ATM: +20%, OTM: +20% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 50% — neutral vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.6x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.3% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -3.7% (5d) — unwinding
Sector activity percentile 38% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 9% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 33% — patient
Conviction +23 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 18.4% — wide
OI 103,250 — deep
Volume 2,406/day — adequate
$0.92 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 28% — tighter than sector
Depth 173.60000000000002 contracts (bid:97.4 ask:76.2) — adequate
Avg slippage 4.98% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +6.5% — backwardation
IV percentile 2% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 0.3pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 2200.70 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 13d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +23% @ 61% consistency — unclear
Score 39 (ITM 20% + inst 9%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.