bearish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 31.8% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.05x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 21% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.21x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 31.6% — normal range
Effective IV 83.4% (ATM 31.6% + spread 25.9% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 37.19% (spread 25.89% + slippage 11.30%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 4.41 (vega 11.411 / spread 25.89%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -97% (strong bearish) — Raw: -96%
|OI skew| 52.8% — call-heavy
Vol skew -49.6%, OI skew +52.8% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 3%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -100%, ATM: -100%, OTM: -96% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 86% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.7x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.4% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +3.6% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 25% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 41% — patient
Conviction -97 (bearish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 25.9% — wide
OI 8,637 — thin
Volume 123/day — thin
$1.29 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 25% — tighter than sector
Depth 79.2 contracts (bid:49.4 ask:29.8) — thin
Avg slippage 11.30% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +20.5% — backwardation
IV percentile 32% — neutral
IV kink 5.6pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 410.48 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 27d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -97% @ 98% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.