IV is low with bullish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 7.2% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.05x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 20% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.06x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 24.7% — normal range
Effective IV 52.3% (ATM 24.7% + spread 13.8% + bias) — good value
Total drag 19.27% (spread 13.80% + slippage 5.47%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 2.76 (vega 3.805 / spread 13.80%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +1% (neutral) — Raw: -2%
|OI skew| 17.6% — put-heavy
Vol skew +30.0%, OI skew -17.6% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 48%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +82%, ATM: -75%, OTM: +36% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 43% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.7x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.3% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +5.4% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 42% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 54% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 39% — patient
Conviction +1 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 13.8% — wide
OI 48,832 — adequate
Volume 1,117/day — adequate
$0.69 to cross — expensive
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 35% — tighter than sector
Depth 118.9 contracts (bid:65.3 ask:53.6) — adequate
Avg slippage 5.47% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +5.8% — backwardation
IV percentile 7% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 1.6pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 6.57 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 24d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +1% @ 51% consistency — unclear
Score 84 (ITM 20% + inst 54%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.