Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 40.3% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.10x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 65% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.98x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 33.4% — normal range
Effective IV 57.3% (ATM 33.4% + spread 11.9% + bias) — good value
Total drag 21.56% (spread 11.95% + slippage 9.61%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 117.42 (vega 140.317 / spread 11.95%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +14% (bullish) — Raw: +12%
|OI skew| 13.6% — balanced
Vol skew -6.3%, OI skew +13.6% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 28%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +50%, ATM: +13%, OTM: +5% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 72% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.6x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.8% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +5.0% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 28% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 44% — patient
Conviction +14 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 11.9% — wide
OI 43,563 — adequate
Volume 1,225/day — adequate
$0.60 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 66% — wider than sector
Depth 28.3 contracts (bid:13.9 ask:14.4) — thin
Avg slippage 9.61% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -1.9% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 40% — neutral
IV kink -2.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1290.86 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 11d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +14% @ 57% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.