IV is low with bullish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 13.0% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.22x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 66% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.09x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 26.8% — normal range
Effective IV 75.2% (ATM 26.8% + spread 24.2% + bias) — fair
Total drag 32.19% (spread 24.20% + slippage 7.99%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.75 (vega 1.811 / spread 24.20%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +22% (bullish) — Raw: +10%
|OI skew| 42.9% — call-heavy
Vol skew +75.9%, OI skew +42.9% — aligned
0-DTE 56%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -63%, ATM: +62%, OTM: -4% — bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 3% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.5x avg — normal
Vol/OI 3.4% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +6.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 66% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 52% — patient
Conviction +22 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 24.2% — wide
OI 16,541 — adequate
Volume 555/day — adequate
$1.21 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 69% — wider than sector
Depth 165.39999999999998 contracts (bid:85.8 ask:79.6) — adequate
Avg slippage 7.99% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +9.4% — backwardation
IV percentile 13% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 2.6pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 5.34 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 27d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +22% @ 61% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.