IV is low with bearish flow. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 20.8% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.84x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 9% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.13x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 28.7% — normal range
Effective IV 72.1% (ATM 28.7% + spread 21.7% + bias) — fair
Total drag 26.75% (spread 21.70% + slippage 5.05%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 2.12 (vega 4.593 / spread 21.70%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -80% (strong bearish) — Raw: -56%
|OI skew| 18.5% — put-heavy
Vol skew -16.7%, OI skew -18.5% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: -100%, OTM: +33% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 71% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.0x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.6% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +81.7% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 10% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 17% — patient
Conviction -80 (bearish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 21.7% — wide
OI 1,971 — thin
Volume 12/day — thin
$1.08 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 14% — much tighter than sector
Depth 19.0 contracts (bid:9.8 ask:9.2) — thin
Avg slippage 5.05% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +13.4% — backwardation
IV percentile 21% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 3.3pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 5.83 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 26d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -80% @ 88% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.