Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 66.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 3.19x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 77% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.66x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 54.3% — normal range
Effective IV 227.0% (ATM 54.3% + spread 86.4% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 125.80% (spread 86.37% + slippage 39.43%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 1.42 (vega 12.282 / spread 86.37%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +16% (bullish) — Raw: +20%
|OI skew| 47.4% — call-heavy
Vol skew -46.7%, OI skew +47.4% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 47%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +100%, ATM: -33%, OTM: +100% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 93% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.6% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -0.3% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 15% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 50% — patient
Conviction +16 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 86.4% — wide
OI 2,369 — thin
Volume 15/day — thin
$4.32 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 81% — much wider than sector
Depth 99.60000000000001 contracts (bid:97.4 ask:2.2) — thin
Avg slippage 39.43% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -34.2% — contango
IV percentile 66% — neutral
IV kink -13.9pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 366.62 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +16% @ 62% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.