bearish flow. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 61.4% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.86x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 80% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.21x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 39.3% — normal range
Effective IV 77.4% (ATM 39.3% + spread 19.0% + bias) — fair
Total drag 27.48% (spread 19.04% + slippage 8.44%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 18.79 (vega 35.768 / spread 19.04%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +17% (bullish) — Raw: +13%
|OI skew| 21.7% — call-heavy
Vol skew -43.8%, OI skew +21.7% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 42%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -42%, ATM: +38%, OTM: +6% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 93% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 2.7x avg — hot
Vol/OI 11.3% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +11.8% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 88% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 35% — patient
Conviction +17 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 19.0% — wide
OI 25,926 — adequate
Volume 2,936/day — adequate
$0.95 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 81% — much wider than sector
Depth 93.9 contracts (bid:57.4 ask:36.5) — thin
Avg slippage 8.44% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +20.5% — backwardation
IV percentile 61% — neutral
IV kink 5.1pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 868.16 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
HIGH RISK: Earnings in 0d (HIGH RISK)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +17% @ 58% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.