IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 98.7% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.06x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 93% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.96x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 77.2% — normal range
Effective IV 97.5% (ATM 77.2% + spread 10.2% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 15.89% (spread 10.17% + slippage 5.72%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 30.05 (vega 30.561 / spread 10.17%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +12% (bullish) — Raw: +17%
|OI skew| 3.2% — balanced
Vol skew -5.4%, OI skew -3.2% — weak (same direction)
0-DTE 43%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +20%, ATM: +14%, OTM: +17% — bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 80% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.7x avg — normal
Vol/OI 6.1% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +11.9% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 44% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 4% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 23% — patient
Conviction +12 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 10.2% — wide
OI 172,378 — deep
Volume 10,527/day — active
$0.51 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 93% — much wider than sector
Depth 105.0 contracts (bid:46.7 ask:58.3) — adequate
Avg slippage 5.72% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -4.0% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 99% — seller opportunity
IV kink -8.5pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 23.04 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 11d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +12% @ 56% consistency — unclear
Score 34 (ITM 20% + inst 4%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.