IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 70.5% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.87x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 76% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.15x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 42.6% — normal range
Effective IV 75.6% (ATM 42.6% + spread 16.5% + bias) — fair
Total drag 24.69% (spread 16.49% + slippage 8.20%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 6.73 (vega 11.104 / spread 16.49%) — acceptable
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +17% (bullish) — Raw: +19%
|OI skew| 56.9% — call-heavy
Vol skew +11.6%, OI skew +56.9% — aligned
0-DTE 27%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +11%, ATM: +3%, OTM: +26% — neutral (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 52% — neutral vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.0x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.6% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +3.8% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 16% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 7% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 47% — patient
Conviction +17 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 16.5% — wide
OI 100,166 — deep
Volume 1,584/day — adequate
$0.82 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 77% — wider than sector
Depth 166.8 contracts (bid:95.9 ask:70.9) — adequate
Avg slippage 8.20% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +15.1% — backwardation
IV percentile 70% — seller opportunity
IV kink 6.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 293.75 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 12d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +17% @ 59% consistency — unclear
Score 37 (ITM 20% + inst 7%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.