IV is low with bullish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 19.7% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 0.44x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 21% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.08x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 28.4% — normal range
Effective IV 55.7% (ATM 28.4% + spread 13.6% + bias) — good value
Total drag 19.78% (spread 13.64% + slippage 6.14%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 17.55 (vega 23.937 / spread 13.64%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +26% (bullish) — Raw: +22%
|OI skew| 54.6% — call-heavy
Vol skew +62.4%, OI skew +54.6% — aligned
0-DTE 8%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +73%, ATM: +34%, OTM: +1% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 3% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.9x avg — normal
Vol/OI 5.4% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +2.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 63% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 55% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 52% — patient
Conviction +26 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 13.6% — wide
OI 98,749 — deep
Volume 5,293/day — active
$0.68 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 26% — tighter than sector
Depth 217.1 contracts (bid:133.2 ask:83.9) — adequate
Avg slippage 6.14% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +8.1% — backwardation
IV percentile 20% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 2.1pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1544.34 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 11d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +26% @ 63% consistency — moderate (bullish)
Score 85 (ITM 20% + inst 55%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.