bullish flow with unusual activity. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 30.8% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.19x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 20% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.62x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 31.3% — normal range
Effective IV 49.9% (ATM 31.3% + spread 9.3% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 14.19% (spread 9.32% + slippage 4.87%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 5.48 (vega 5.107 / spread 9.32%) — acceptable
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +30% (bullish) — Raw: +27%
|OI skew| 14.4% — balanced
Vol skew +40.6%, OI skew +14.4% — aligned
0-DTE 25%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +30%, ATM: +24%, OTM: +28% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 50% — neutral vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.7x avg — elevated
Vol/OI 9.3% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +11.4% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 69% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 55% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 54% — patient
Conviction +30 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 9.3% — wide
OI 1,082,057 — deep
Volume 100,966/day — active
$0.47 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 29% — tighter than sector
Depth 1,016.3 contracts (bid:614.5 ask:401.8) — deep
Avg slippage 4.87% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +62.2% — backwardation
IV percentile 31% — neutral
IV kink 14.0pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 630.49 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: Earnings in 5d (elevated risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +30% @ 65% consistency — moderate (bullish)
Score 85 (ITM 20% + inst 55%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.