bearish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 36.9% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.95x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 29% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.10x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 32.6% — normal range
Effective IV 63.7% (ATM 32.6% + spread 15.5% + bias) — good value
Total drag 24.00% (spread 15.53% + slippage 8.47%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 182.47 (vega 283.382 / spread 15.53%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +89% (strong bullish) — Raw: +86%
|OI skew| 47.2% — put-heavy
Vol skew -90.2%, OI skew -47.2% — aligned
0-DTE 40%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -100%, ATM: +12%, OTM: +90% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 97% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 3.1x avg — hot
Vol/OI 26.6% — high turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +11.5% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 97% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 78% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 33% — patient
Conviction +89 (bullish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 15.5% — wide
OI 4,931 — thin
Volume 1,312/day — adequate
$0.78 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 32% — tighter than sector
Depth 11.5 contracts (bid:4.8 ask:6.7) — thin
Avg slippage 8.47% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +9.6% — backwardation
IV percentile 37% — neutral
IV kink 3.3pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 682.85 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 18d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +89% @ 94% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 108 (ITM 20% + inst 78%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.