bullish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 33.1% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.02x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 7% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.09x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 31.8% — normal range
Effective IV 68.6% (ATM 31.8% + spread 18.4% + bias) — fair
Total drag 20.07% (spread 18.40% + slippage 1.67%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 111.00 (vega 204.249 / spread 18.40%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -24% (bearish) — Raw: -27%
|OI skew| 46.9% — call-heavy
Vol skew +69.2%, OI skew +46.9% — aligned
0-DTE 31%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: +0%, OTM: -60% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 6% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.0% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +2.9% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 8% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 0% — patient
Conviction -24 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 18.4% — wide
OI 1,292 — thin
Volume 13/day — thin
$0.92 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 9% — much tighter than sector
Depth 9.2 contracts (bid:4.4 ask:4.8) — thin
Avg slippage 1.67% — fair
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +8.8% — backwardation
IV percentile 33% — neutral
IV kink 2.9pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1355.33 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: Earnings in 5d (elevated risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -24% @ 67% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.