IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 98.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.07x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 92% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.99x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 75.4% — normal range
Effective IV 88.3% (ATM 75.4% + spread 6.4% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 13.20% (spread 6.43% + slippage 6.77%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 130.89 (vega 84.165 / spread 6.43%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +4% (neutral) — Raw: +4%
|OI skew| 20.5% — call-heavy
Vol skew -0.3%, OI skew +20.5% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 22%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -22%, ATM: +34%, OTM: -2% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 76% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.9x avg — normal
Vol/OI 4.7% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +6.6% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 31% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 9% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 32% — patient
Conviction +4 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 6.4% — wide
OI 73,425 — deep
Volume 3,415/day — adequate
$0.32 to cross — cheap
6 liquid strikes — good coverage
Sector spread percentile 92% — much wider than sector
Depth 49.5 contracts (bid:23.6 ask:25.9) — thin
Avg slippage 6.77% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -1.0% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 98% — seller opportunity
IV kink -6.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 335.72 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 11d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +4% @ 52% consistency — unclear
Score 39 (ITM 20% + inst 9%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.