IV is low with bullish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 5.3% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 0.97x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 2% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.89x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 23.7% — normal range
Effective IV 42.4% (ATM 23.7% + spread 9.3% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 13.72% (spread 9.34% + slippage 4.38%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 26.89 (vega 25.116 / spread 9.34%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +15% (bullish) — Raw: +4%
|OI skew| 2.1% — balanced
Vol skew +52.5%, OI skew +2.1% — aligned
0-DTE 41%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -1%, ATM: +12%, OTM: -0% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 10% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.2x avg — normal
Vol/OI 5.1% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +7.2% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 48% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 18% — mixed
Aggressive execution 33% — patient
Conviction +15 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 9.3% — wide
OI 133,459 — deep
Volume 6,859/day — active
$0.47 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 4% — much tighter than sector
Depth 194.0 contracts (bid:84.0 ask:110.0) — adequate
Avg slippage 4.38% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -10.7% — contango
IV percentile 5% — buyer opportunity
IV kink -2.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 450.92 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +15% @ 58% consistency — unclear
Score 48 (ITM 20% + inst 18%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.