bullish flow with unusual activity. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 35.5% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.41x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 27% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.01x — flat
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 32.4% — normal range
Effective IV 50.1% (ATM 32.4% + spread 8.9% + bias) — good value
Total drag 14.43% (spread 8.87% + slippage 5.56%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 81.37 (vega 72.176 / spread 8.87%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -17% (bearish) — Raw: -24%
|OI skew| 28.5% — call-heavy
Vol skew +69.8%, OI skew +28.5% — aligned
0-DTE 7%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -41%, ATM: +2%, OTM: -34% — bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 6% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 2.3x avg — hot
Vol/OI 11.3% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +18.4% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 81% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 42% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 32% — patient
Conviction -17 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 8.9% — wide
OI 136,876 — deep
Volume 15,525/day — active
$0.44 to cross — cheap
2 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 35% — tighter than sector
Depth 143.8 contracts (bid:73.9 ask:69.9) — adequate
Avg slippage 5.56% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +1.3% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 36% — neutral
IV kink -2.9pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1831.88 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 11d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -17% @ 59% consistency — unclear
Score 72 (ITM 20% + inst 42%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.