IV is elevated with bullish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 79.2% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.22x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 82% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.88x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 46.8% — normal range
Effective IV 64.2% (ATM 46.8% + spread 8.7% + bias) — good value
Total drag 9.57% (spread 8.70% + slippage 0.87%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 3.29 (vega 2.860 / spread 8.70%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -5% (neutral) — Raw: -6%
|OI skew| 2.0% — balanced
Vol skew +85.5%, OI skew +2.0% — aligned
0-DTE 77%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -7%, ATM: +22%, OTM: -9% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 2% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 4.6% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +4.5% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 42% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 4% — patient
Conviction -5 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 8.7% — wide
OI 34,552 — adequate
Volume 1,577/day — adequate
$0.43 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 82% — much wider than sector
Depth 89.9 contracts (bid:70.5 ask:19.4) — thin
Avg slippage 0.87% — good
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -12.0% — contango
IV percentile 79% — seller opportunity
IV kink -7.7pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 3.84 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 27d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -5% @ 53% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.