Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 33.3% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.38x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 23% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.06x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 31.9% — normal range
Effective IV 51.4% (ATM 31.9% + spread 9.8% + bias) — good value
Total drag 15.91% (spread 9.76% + slippage 6.15%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 62.92 (vega 61.411 / spread 9.76%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -67% (strong bearish) — Raw: -67%
|OI skew| 53.4% — call-heavy
Vol skew +25.5%, OI skew +53.4% — aligned
0-DTE 15%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -14%, ATM: -70%, OTM: -72% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 43% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.1x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.5% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +15.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 4% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 46% — patient
Conviction -67 (bearish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 9.8% — wide
OI 17,410 — adequate
Volume 94/day — thin
$0.49 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 26% — tighter than sector
Depth 60.4 contracts (bid:29.2 ask:31.2) — thin
Avg slippage 6.15% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +6.1% — backwardation
IV percentile 33% — neutral
IV kink 2.2pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 896.51 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 20d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -67% @ 83% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.