IV is low. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 19.3% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.38x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 32% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.06x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 28.3% — normal range
Effective IV 63.9% (ATM 28.3% + spread 17.8% + bias) — good value
Total drag 24.61% (spread 17.80% + slippage 6.81%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 16.99 (vega 30.247 / spread 17.80%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -39% (strong bearish) — Raw: -32%
|OI skew| 17.3% — call-heavy
Vol skew +6.3%, OI skew +17.3% — weak (same direction)
0-DTE 27%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -48%, ATM: -67%, OTM: -14% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 57% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.2% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +2.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 10% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 49% — patient
Conviction -39 (bearish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 17.8% — wide
OI 42,795 — adequate
Volume 521/day — adequate
$0.89 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 35% — tighter than sector
Depth 95.69999999999999 contracts (bid:53.4 ask:42.3) — thin
Avg slippage 6.81% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +5.8% — backwardation
IV percentile 19% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 1.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1583.62 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 13d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -39% @ 69% consistency — moderate (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.