IV is low. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 24.2% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.19x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 39% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.23x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 29.9% — normal range
Effective IV 64.5% (ATM 29.9% + spread 17.3% + bias) — good value
Total drag 23.59% (spread 17.29% + slippage 6.30%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.45 (vega 0.770 / spread 17.29%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +8% (neutral) — Raw: +2%
|OI skew| 25.1% — call-heavy
Vol skew +12.9%, OI skew +25.1% — aligned
0-DTE 22%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +57%, ATM: -18%, OTM: +12% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 60% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.8% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +7.9% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 0% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 40% — patient
Conviction +8 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 17.3% — wide
OI 49,915 — adequate
Volume 388/day — thin
$0.86 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 43% — neutral vs sector
Depth 166.9 contracts (bid:101.5 ask:65.4) — adequate
Avg slippage 6.30% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +22.7% — backwardation
IV percentile 24% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 5.8pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 7.05 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 17d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +8% @ 54% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.