IV is elevated with bullish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 99.2% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.41x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 95% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.83x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 78.2% — normal range
Effective IV 96.6% (ATM 78.2% + spread 9.2% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 14.99% (spread 9.18% + slippage 5.81%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 7.93 (vega 7.278 / spread 9.18%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +19% (bullish) — Raw: +6%
|OI skew| 35.3% — call-heavy
Vol skew +49.2%, OI skew +35.3% — aligned
0-DTE 23%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +45%, ATM: -17%, OTM: +5% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 19% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.9x avg — normal
Vol/OI 4.8% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +6.5% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 32% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 28% — mixed
Aggressive execution 40% — patient
Conviction +19 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 9.2% — wide
OI 934,275 — deep
Volume 44,531/day — active
$0.46 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 95% — much wider than sector
Depth 751.5 contracts (bid:340.0 ask:411.5) — deep
Avg slippage 5.81% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -16.8% — contango
IV percentile 99% — seller opportunity
IV kink -16.8pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 655.68 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 27d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +19% @ 60% consistency — unclear
Score 58 (ITM 20% + inst 28%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.