IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 86.8% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.70x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 61% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.15x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 54.0% — normal range
Effective IV 95.0% (ATM 54.0% + spread 20.5% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 44.35% (spread 20.50% + slippage 23.85%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 18.56 (vega 38.051 / spread 20.50%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -4% (neutral) — Raw: -12%
|OI skew| 36.6% — call-heavy
Vol skew +47.9%, OI skew +36.6% — aligned
0-DTE 63%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: +75%, OTM: -32% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 23% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.1x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.2% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +8.7% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 16% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 12% — patient
Conviction -4 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 20.5% — wide
OI 3,329 — thin
Volume 73/day — thin
$1.02 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 62% — wider than sector
Depth 15.0 contracts (bid:6.7 ask:8.3) — thin
Avg slippage 23.85% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +15.4% — backwardation
IV percentile 87% — seller opportunity
IV kink 6.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 102.01 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: Earnings in 5d (elevated risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -4% @ 52% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.