Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 63.3% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.59x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 64% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.10x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 39.6% — normal range
Effective IV 81.4% (ATM 39.6% + spread 20.9% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 25.88% (spread 20.89% + slippage 4.99%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 1.76 (vega 3.667 / spread 20.89%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +94% (strong bullish) — Raw: +91%
|OI skew| 79.9% — put-heavy
Vol skew -61.0%, OI skew -79.9% — aligned
0-DTE 24%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +94%, ATM: +100%, OTM: +43% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 90% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.1x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.1% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +423.8% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 19% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 27% — patient
Conviction +94 (bullish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 20.9% — wide
OI 11,199 — adequate
Volume 123/day — thin
$1.04 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 66% — wider than sector
Depth 36.400000000000006 contracts (bid:16.1 ask:20.3) — thin
Avg slippage 4.99% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +10.4% — backwardation
IV percentile 63% — neutral
IV kink 3.7pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 3.04 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 10d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +94% @ 97% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.