IV is low with unusual activity. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 9.8% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 0.83x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 2% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.08x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 23.0% — normal range
Effective IV 56.9% (ATM 23.0% + spread 16.9% + bias) — good value
Total drag 28.14% (spread 16.93% + slippage 11.21%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 13.93 (vega 23.579 / spread 16.93%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -2% (neutral) — Raw: -1%
|OI skew| 10.9% — balanced
Vol skew -23.7%, OI skew +10.9% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 1%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +28%, ATM: +25%, OTM: -2% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 81% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.9x avg — normal
Vol/OI 15.9% — high turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +2.6% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 95% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 31% — patient
Conviction -2 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 16.9% — wide
OI 76,465 — deep
Volume 12,155/day — active
$0.85 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 45% — neutral vs sector
Depth 993.0 contracts (bid:582.3 ask:410.7) — deep
Avg slippage 11.21% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +8.0% — backwardation
IV percentile 10% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 2.1pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 3022.92 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -2% @ 51% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.