Mixed signals. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 55.4% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.92x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 55% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.49x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 37.6% — normal range
Effective IV 46.5% (ATM 37.6% + spread 4.5% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 8.48% (spread 4.45% + slippage 4.03%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 41.79 (vega 18.596 / spread 4.45%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -2% (neutral) — Raw: -1%
|OI skew| 20.5% — call-heavy
Vol skew +43.3%, OI skew +20.5% — aligned
0-DTE 46%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -29%, ATM: -6%, OTM: +6% — bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 24% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.9x avg — normal
Vol/OI 6.1% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +6.0% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 81% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 20% — mixed
Aggressive execution 38% — patient
Conviction -2 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 4.5% — acceptable
OI 1,333,091 — deep
Volume 80,844/day — active
$0.22 to cross — cheap
2 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 58% — neutral vs sector
Depth 172.5 contracts (bid:79.6 ask:92.9) — adequate
Avg slippage 4.03% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +49.1% — backwardation
IV percentile 55% — neutral
IV kink 16.0pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 30.28 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: Earnings in 4d (elevated risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -2% @ 51% consistency — unclear
Score 50 (ITM 20% + inst 20%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.