URIUnited Rentals, Inc.
URI Options Overview
Mixed signals. Conditions favor premium sellers.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
URI Gamma Walls
URI Hedge Radar
Fragility reads high; protection is priced cheap. Neither axis is a forecast — this is where URI sits on protection cost vs. fragility today.
Protection is priced in the cheap band (1.72) — near-dated vol is priced 19% below far-dated, and implied vol sits in the 4th percentile of its own past year, measured against this name's own rolling 19-trading-day realized moves (485 overlapping windows). Fragility reads fragile (6.45): it is trading 6% below its hedge wall on a wall graded HIGH for reliability, and its realized-vol regime is stable.
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 59.8% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.04x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 66% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.81x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 32.4% — normal range
Effective IV 83.1% (ATM 32.4% + spread 25.4% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 46.93% (spread 25.36% + slippage 21.57%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 43.92 (vega 111.373 / spread 25.36%) — efficient
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -12% (bearish) — Raw: -9%
|OI skew| 0.3% — balanced
Vol skew -0.9%, OI skew -0.3% — weak (same direction)
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -68%, ATM: -9%, OTM: -7% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 71% — very bearish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 7.3% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -96.5% (5d) — unwinding
Sector activity percentile 87% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 5% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 19% — patient
Conviction -12 (bearish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 25.4% — wide
OI 25,590 — adequate
Volume 1,871/day — adequate
$1.27 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 67% — wider than sector
Depth 13.8 contracts (bid:6.8 ask:7.0) — thin
Avg slippage 21.57% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -19.0% — contango
IV percentile 60% — neutral
IV kink -2.8pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 156.07 — favors income trades
4 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -12% @ 56% consistency — unclear
Score 35 (ITM 20% + inst 5%) — retail dominated
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.