IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 77.9% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.83x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 89% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.49x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 46.1% — normal range
Effective IV 78.3% (ATM 46.1% + spread 16.1% + bias) — fair
Total drag 30.76% (spread 16.08% + slippage 14.68%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 122.51 (vega 196.988 / spread 16.08%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +2% (neutral) — Raw: +14%
|OI skew| 2.0% — balanced
Vol skew -20.7%, OI skew -2.0% — aligned
0-DTE 43%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -47%, ATM: -20%, OTM: +23% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 80% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.0x avg — normal
Vol/OI 8.9% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +8.4% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 80% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 4% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 25% — patient
Conviction +2 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 16.1% — wide
OI 26,290 — adequate
Volume 2,332/day — adequate
$0.80 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 89% — much wider than sector
Depth 18.2 contracts (bid:8.7 ask:9.5) — thin
Avg slippage 14.68% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +48.6% — backwardation
IV percentile 78% — seller opportunity
IV kink 16.8pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 698.54 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: Earnings in 5d (elevated risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +2% @ 51% consistency — unclear
Score 34 (ITM 20% + inst 4%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.