IV is low. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 13.4% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.37x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 17% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.01x — flat
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 26.8% — normal range
Effective IV 57.8% (ATM 26.8% + spread 15.5% + bias) — good value
Total drag 23.46% (spread 15.49% + slippage 7.97%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 11.31 (vega 17.520 / spread 15.49%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -4% (neutral) — Raw: -4%
|OI skew| 4.5% — balanced
Vol skew -9.8%, OI skew -4.5% — weak (same direction)
0-DTE 63%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -5%, ATM: -9%, OTM: +2% — neutral (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 76% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.8x avg — elevated
Vol/OI 7.4% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
2 day(s) elevated — sustained
OI change +22.2% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 69% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 20% — mixed
Aggressive execution 46% — patient
Conviction -4 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 15.5% — wide
OI 215,382 — deep
Volume 15,861/day — active
$0.77 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 21% — tighter than sector
Depth 251.0 contracts (bid:96.7 ask:154.3) — adequate
Avg slippage 7.97% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +0.8% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 13% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 1.1pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1536.80 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -4% @ 52% consistency — unclear
Score 50 (ITM 20% + inst 20%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.