bearish flow. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 37.4% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.61x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 31% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.11x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 32.7% — normal range
Effective IV 144.7% (ATM 32.7% + spread 56.0% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 68.00% (spread 56.00% + slippage 12.00%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 2.64 (vega 14.811 / spread 56.00%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -100% (strong bearish) — Raw: -100%
|OI skew| 78.8% — call-heavy
Vol skew -100.0%, OI skew +78.8% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: +0%, OTM: -100% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 67% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.2x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.4% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +2.7% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 3% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 0% — patient
Conviction -100 (bearish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 56.0% — wide
OI 1,692 — thin
Volume 6/day — thin
$2.80 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 33% — tighter than sector
Depth 61.5 contracts (bid:59.5 ask:2.0) — thin
Avg slippage 12.00% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +11.3% — backwardation
IV percentile 37% — neutral
IV kink 2.9pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 371.20 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 18d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -100% @ 100% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.