
Mixed signals. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 35.2% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.14x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 30% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.11x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 32.2% — normal range
Effective IV 71.2% (ATM 32.2% + spread 19.5% + bias) — fair
Total drag 22.98% (spread 19.49% + slippage 3.49%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 34.41 (vega 67.056 / spread 19.49%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +4% (neutral) — Raw: +7%
|OI skew| 6.1% — balanced
Vol skew -24.7%, OI skew +6.1% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 46%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -60%, ATM: +30%, OTM: -25% — bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 80% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.1x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.1% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +0.4% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 10% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 20% — patient
Conviction +4 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 19.5% — wide
OI 8,262 — thin
Volume 93/day — thin
$0.97 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 30% — tighter than sector
Depth 28.9 contracts (bid:14.3 ask:14.6) — thin
Avg slippage 3.49% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +11.3% — backwardation
IV percentile 35% — neutral
IV kink 3.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 740.13 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 12d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +4% @ 51% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.