Mixed signals. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 32.5% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 0.87x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 5% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.09x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 31.7% — normal range
Effective IV 51.6% (ATM 31.7% + spread 9.9% + bias) — good value
Total drag 14.27% (spread 9.93% + slippage 4.34%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 81.95 (vega 81.379 / spread 9.93%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +17% (bullish) — Raw: +14%
|OI skew| 68.5% — call-heavy
Vol skew +7.3%, OI skew +68.5% — weak (same direction)
0-DTE 14%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -78%, ATM: +73%, OTM: +7% — bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 72% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.1% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +32.0% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 15% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 40% — patient
Conviction +17 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 9.9% — wide
OI 17,039 — adequate
Volume 358/day — thin
$0.50 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 7% — much tighter than sector
Depth 25.2 contracts (bid:11.7 ask:13.5) — thin
Avg slippage 4.34% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +9.5% — backwardation
IV percentile 32% — neutral
IV kink 3.5pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1128.70 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: Earnings in 6d (elevated risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +17% @ 59% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.