bearish flow. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 38.9% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.22x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 32% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.89x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 32.9% — normal range
Effective IV 76.9% (ATM 32.9% + spread 22.0% + bias) — fair
Total drag 37.16% (spread 21.99% + slippage 15.17%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 24.69 (vega 54.300 / spread 21.99%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -41% (strong bearish) — Raw: -35%
|OI skew| 8.6% — balanced
Vol skew -23.9%, OI skew +8.6% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 21%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -16%, ATM: -19%, OTM: -43% — bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 78% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.7x avg — normal
Vol/OI 4.1% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +3.6% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 66% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 38% — patient
Conviction -41 (bearish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 22.0% — wide
OI 47,438 — adequate
Volume 1,936/day — adequate
$1.10 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 36% — tighter than sector
Depth 28.0 contracts (bid:14.0 ask:14.0) — thin
Avg slippage 15.17% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -11.4% — contango
IV percentile 39% — neutral
IV kink -3.2pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 189.86 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 17d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -41% @ 70% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.