VTVanguard Total World Stock ETF
VT Options Overview
IV is low with bullish flow. No clear edge detected.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
VT Gamma Walls
VT Hedge Radar
Fragility reads low; protection is priced cheap. Neither axis is a forecast — this is where VT sits on protection cost vs. fragility today.
Protection is priced in the cheap band (2.53) — near-dated vol is priced 21% below far-dated, and implied vol sits in the 11th percentile of its own past year, measured against this name's own rolling 26-trading-day realized moves (478 overlapping windows). Fragility reads resilient (3.94): it is trading 4% above its hedge wall on a wall graded HIGH for reliability, and its realized-vol regime is stable.
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 6.6% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.35x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 12% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.77x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 13.9% — normal range
Effective IV 65.0% (ATM 13.9% + spread 25.6% + bias) — fair
Total drag 38.11% (spread 25.56% + slippage 12.55%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 5.36 (vega 13.698 / spread 25.56%) — acceptable
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +1% (neutral) — Raw: -1%
|OI skew| 30.9% — call-heavy
Vol skew +35.0%, OI skew +30.9% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -33%, ATM: +34%, OTM: -31% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 19% — very bullish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.9% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +13.5% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 56% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 36% — patient
Conviction +1 (bullish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 25.6% — wide
OI 6,883 — thin
Volume 200/day — thin
$1.28 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 33% — tighter than sector
Depth 91.69999999999999 contracts (bid:41.3 ask:50.4) — thin
Avg slippage 12.55% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -23.3% — contango
IV percentile 7% — buyer opportunity
IV kink -2.2pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 216.74 — favors income trades
4 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +1% @ 51% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.